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The End of Rapid Growth in Biomedical Research

In Uncategorized on January 12, 2010 at 11:52 pm

After a decade of remarkable growth, total annual funding for biomedical research in the U.S. has decelerated and may have even fallen when adjusted for inflation, according to a recent study published in the Journal of the American Medical Association.

“The era of rapid expansion in biomedical research funding that began in the 1990′s has ended,” said Ray Dorsey, M.D., a neurologist at the University of Rochester Medical Center and lead author of the study. “Looking back at this period, one of the striking observations is that while research funding increased, the number of novel treatments entering the market remained steady. If research funding levels are to return to a phase of growth, we should examine funding priorities, particularly in health services research, and barriers to the development of new therapies.”

The authors compiled data from government sources, trade organizations, and industry financial reports to create a profile of biomedical research funding from 2003 to 2007. Over the five year period, annual research funding increased from $75.5 to $101.1 billion. Adjusted for inflation, funding grew by an average annual rate of 3.4% over the period. Using incomplete data, the authors estimated research funding from the National Institutes of Health (NIH) and industry for 2008 at $88.8 billion, which, when adjusted for inflation, represents a decrease in funding.

The study is a follow-up to a similar analysis published in 2005 by the same authors that showed that biomedical research funding from all sources had tripled in nominal value and doubled when adjusted for inflation between 1994 and 2003. The annual growth rate in funding over the period was more than twice as fast at 7.8%.

This deceleration in funding, if unchanged, has a significant potential impact for the biotechnology and pharmaceutical industries and academic research institutions that rely on government and private funding. As has been noted in other reports, the flat-lining of federal funding for biomedical research in particular has a cascading effect on the national academic research enterprise, leading to scientists spending more of their time chasing funding, influencing career choices of new graduates, discouraging higher risk research, and curtailing the establishment of new scientific programs and construction of new research facilities.

The growth in research funding that began in the 1990s fueled a significant expansion in academic research and many universities became engines for economic growth in their communities. Consequently, the deceleration in research funding could have a profound effect on communities where academic research, health care, and biotechnology have become major economic players.

Approval of New Drugs and Devices Stagnant


While funding has generally increased over the period examined, this growth has not been accompanied by an increase in the number of new drug and device approvals by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA). For example, the number of new molecular entities, essentially drugs that have not been marketed in the U.S. previously, approved by the FDA in 2003 was 21 and in 2008 was 17. Similar trends were observed for new biologics, as measured by biologic license applications, and devices, as measured by device pre-market application approvals.

“The relative lack of new therapeutic advances has been a decade-long problem that continues to persist despite previous large investments in research funding,” said Dorsey. “The current model is not working well if the desire is to approve new novel therapies to improve health. We need to modify incentives to reward risk and increase support for companies pursuing early stage and innovative research.”

Increasingly, the model for drug development has the pharmaceutical industry devoting a large portion of its spending for late-stage clinical trials as opposed to drug discovery research. The large pharmaceutical companies have largely abdicated the role of early stage research and development to smaller companies that often serve as the bridge between academic research and the market. These smaller companies, in turn, then develop relationships (either through partnerships or acquisitions) with larger companies once they have proven they have a viable product. However, these smaller firms, with limited resources and capital, face considerable risk and increasing pressures to generate promising results in short time frames from impatient markets. The model currently creates little incentive for investors to put capital into companies who are engaged in research that may be innovative, but has a higher risk of failure.

Biomedical vs. Health Services Research

The analysis also reveals that health services research represents a fraction of the nation’s $2 trillion in annual health care spending. This research – which is funded by foundations and federal agencies such as the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, NIH, and the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services – is intended to improve health care quality and access and control costs by examining the impact of financial, social, technological, and organizational factors on public health.

The study’s authors contend that, in the context of the ongoing national debate over how to control growth in health expenditures, which now exceed $2.3 trillion in the U.S., and impending legislation in Congress that will dramatically increase the number of people with health insurance, spending on health services research, which was $2.2 billion in 2008, is inadequate.

“We spend almost $5 for every $100 in national health expenditures on biomedical research, but we spend less than a dime on ensuring those treatments reach the right people and the right time,” said Dorsey. “Given the massive changes in health care that may occur in the very near future, we need to dedicate more resources to understanding the most effective and efficient ways of delivering care.”

Industry Funding Up, NIH Funding Shrinks

Industry – pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and medical device firms – supplies the largest proportion of total research spending at 58%, followed by the federal government at 33%. Industry research and development funding increased by 25% between 2003 and 2007 with growth in research activity by medical device (59%) and biotechnology companies (41%) significantly outpacing pharmaceutical companies (14%).

The study found that funding from the National Institutes of Health – which is by far the single largest supporter of biomedical research – decreased by 12% between 2003 and 2008 when adjusted for inflation. Total federal funding for biomedical research increased by 0.7% over the period, that is in contrast to the period between 1994 and 2003 when federal research funding increased by 100%.

IBISWorld Identifies Best And Worst Performing Sectors By Revenue Growth

In Uncategorized on January 12, 2010 at 6:57 pm

As another decade comes to an end, industry research firm IBISWorld identified the Top 10 Best & Worst Performing Industries in the U.S. based on cumulative revenue growth from 2000-2009, as well as prospects for 2010-2019:

Best Performing Industries In the Past Decade (2000-2009)
 
1.  Voice Over Internet Protocol Providers (VoIP)  *See Note 
2.  Search Engines: 1655.9% 
3.  eCommerce & Online Auctions:  468.9% 
4 . Online Dating & Matchmaking:  248.8% 
5.  Tank & Armored Vehicle Manufacturing:  244.7% 
6.  Petrochemical Manufacturing:  221.2% 
7.  Mining Support:  186.7% 
8.  Wireless Telecommunications Carriers:  183.4% 
9.  Biotechnology:  182.1% 
10.  Warehouse Clubs and Supercenters:  146.5% 

Note: VoIP is a new industry that only began to earn revenue in 2002. In the short period to 2009, revenue growth accumulated to an astronomical 179035.8%.

“VoIP has skyrocketed from non-existent to a massive application targeting telecom carrier’s voice revenues,” explained George Van Horn, senior analyst with IBISWorld. “Continuing cost advantages for service providers, improving service quality and the expected emergence of mobile VoIP during the next 10 years pave the way for VoIP to be the primary beneficiary of the next leg in telecom’s service development cycle.”

Worst Performing Industries In The Past Decade (2000-2009)

1.  Men`s & Boys` Apparel Manufacturing: -89.1% 
2.  Clothing Accessories Manufacturing:  -76.2% 
3.  Money Market & Other Banking:  -73.3% 
4.  Broad Woven Fabric Mills:  -72.7% 
5.  Women`s & Girls`s Apparel Manufacturing:  -71.4% 
6.  Apparel Knitting Mills:  -70.9% 
7.  Leather Tanning & Finishing:  -70.0% 
8.  Manufactured Home Dealers:  -67.4% 
9.  Circuit Board & Electronic Component Manufacturing:  -63.9% 
10.  Recordable Media Manufacturing:  -63.7% 

Industries that have not performed well are primarily in the slow decline stage of their life cycle and continue to grapple with competitive pressures ranging from overseas supply sources to product substitution threats originating from other industry sectors.

Best Performing Industries In The Coming Decade (2010-2019)

1.  Voice Over Internet Protocol Providers (VoIP):  149.6% 
2.  Retirement & Pension Plans:  133.7% 
3.  Biotechnology:  127.6% 
4.  eCommerce & Online Auctions:  124.7% 
5.  Environmental Consulting:  120.3% 
6.  Video Games:  112.9% 
7.  Trusts & Estates:  105.7% 
8.  Search Engines:  100.9% 
9.  Recycling Facilities:  80.9% 
10.  Land Development:  72.7% 

While the technology and innovation industries that have thrived in the past 10 years are generally expected to continue their run through 2019, the winners of the next ten years will also share the stage with a recovery in financial services and increasing social concerns (e.g. environment).

Worst Performing Industries In The Coming Decade (2010-2019)

1.  Wired Telecommunications Carriers:  -52.0% 
2.  Tank & Armored Vehicle Manufacturing:  -51.9% 
3.  Vacuum, Fan & Small Household Appliance Manufacturing:  -34.4% 
4.  DVD, Game & Video Rental:  -32.8% 
5.  Photofinishing:  -31.5% 
6. Lighting & Bulb Manufacturing:  -26.8% 
7.  Telecommunications Resellers:  -26.4% 
8.  Laminated Plastics Manufacturing:  -25.3% 
9.  Synthetic Fiber Manufacturing:  -24.6% 
10.  Wire & Spring Manufacturing:  -24.5% 

Over a 10 year time frame, the industries that outperform or underperform their peers are those that either benefit from competitive strategic advantages or worse, suffering from significant disadvantages. While the performance of the economic recovery will dominate near-term industry performance measures, innovative products, competitive costs and improving efficiency will continue to separate the winners from the losers in the upcoming decade (2009-2019).

About IBISWorld, Inc.
Recognized as the nation’s most trusted independent source of industry and market research, IBISWorld offers a comprehensive database of unique information and analysis on every U.S. industry.  With an extensive online portfolio, valued for its depth and scope, the company equips clients with the insight necessary to make better business decisions.  Headquartered in Los Angeles, IBISWorld serves a range of business, professional service and government organizations through more than 10 locations worldwide.  For more information visit www.ibisworld.com or call 1-800-330-3772.

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